Masters Preview + Special Offer – DraftKings Strategy

NOTE: Before I start, I can’t help but tout the offer that DraftKings has right now. When they make these Millionaire Maker events, they try EVERYTHING to get as many people as possible, including giving away a ton of seats. And they are doing it again for the Masters. DK is giving away $1 million to the winner of their Masters event ($20 buy in). However, they are also giving away a ton of seats to new players. So here’s the deal. If you sign up with this link and deposit $5 (new account only) we both get a free $20 entry into the Masters event. That’s an unreal deal. Basically giving away $45 worth of buy-ins for $5.

The Masters is a unique event in the world of DFS. Golf in general is very difficult to handicap and it’s a matter of finding players who have good course history and are playing well recently. When those two lines are converging, it sets up for a great play. Luckily for us, since this tournament is played at the same course every year and all the big names players are involved, we have plenty of course history to use.

If you are new to PGA, there are some really good fantasy writers in the industry. My favorite is Rob Bolton from PGATour.com. You can find his power rankings and fantasy analysis here and follow him on Twitter.

Studs

Rory McIlroy ($14,900)

This is the last major Rory needs to complete the career Grand Slam and he’s the greatest player on Earth. Unfortunately, he hasn’t played particularly well  by his standards and I don’t know if there are enough solid value plays to be able to roster him this week. I have to fade him.

Bubba Watson ($12,200)

His only two top 15s at Augusta are his two career wins. Hasn’t finished under par in the other four times he’s played. He’s boom or bust making him a great GPP play. Should be plenty of good vibes as the defending champ tries to go back-to-back.

Jason Day ($11,300)

Hasn’t finished worse than T31 in any tournament this season including 4 Top 10s. Led after 36 holes in 2013 and finished second. Finally healthy and always hungry for a Major Win.

Henrik Stenson ($10,100)

Has four consecutive Top 5s on TOUR. Withdrew last week with a fewer and sore throat. Assuming his health is fine, he’s a threat to make a deep run.

Stars

Jimmy Walker ($8,900)

This guy doesn’t get nearly enough credit. Coming off a win two weeks ago and leads the FedEx Cup Standings once again. 11/11 cuts, 5 Top 10s, and 2 wins already this season. Debuted at Augusta with a T8 last year. Should fly under the radar and be under-owned.

Keegan Bradley ($7,700)

He is rounding into form at the right time. He’s game is starting to click with a T5 last week in Houston. 2/3 in his Masters career. Has Major pedigree with PGA Championship victory in 2011.

Jim Furyk ($7,800)

If you want to win the Million on DK, you’re going to need to have all six of your guys at least make the cut. It’s detrimental to the entire lineup if just one fails to make the weekend. There might be no better lock to make the cut than Furyk. He’s 5/5 on TOUR this season including 3 Top 15s. His Masters resume is impressive with 16 cuts made in 18 trips and 12 top 25s.

Value Plays

Kevin Na ($6,000)

Na has been really good this season including 10/12 on TOUR and 4 Top 10s. His Masters record is hit and miss, but has survived the cut in his last two trips.

Cameron Tringale ($5,900)

This kid always feels like he’s about to breakout. He has all the skill in the world, he just needs to put it all together on a weekly basis. 10/13 on TOUR this year and a T5 last week in Houston. I’m nervous that this is his first trip to Augusta and the stage might be a little big for him.

Video!

 

The one good thing about Jordan Spieth losing last week…

DraftKings Strategy – NBA Projections 4/4/15

I want to offer my NBA Projections to everyone for the rest of the season. Each day, I will post them here on this site and update them as much as possible. They will be in a simple Google Doc spreadsheet that you can access. Feel free to use them for whatever you want (create lineups, put them in an optimizer, use them as a baseline for your own projections, etc). They should be sortable but remember that if you change the sorting, it will change for everyone who is viewing at the time.

Here is a link to today’s projections

Also, if you are new to the game or know someone who wants to try it out, please sign up to DraftKings with my referral link. That allows me to continue to pump out as much content as I can.  I am also happy to answer any questions on here, YouTube, or Twitter.

Quick overview on how the projections work:

DraftKings Strategy – NBA Projections – 4/3/2015

I want to offer my NBA Projections to everyone for the rest of the season. Each day, I will post them here on this site and update them as much as possible. They will be in a simple Google Doc spreadsheet that you can access. Feel free to use them for whatever you want (create lineups, put them in an optimizer, use them as a baseline for your own projections, etc). They should be sortable but remember that if you change the sorting, it will change for everyone who is viewing at the time.

Here is a link to today’s projections

Also, if you are new to the game or know someone who wants to try it out, please sign up to DraftKings with my referral link. That allows me to continue to pump out as much content as I can.  I am also happy to answer any questions on here, YouTube, or Twitter.

Quick overview on how the projections work:

DraftKings Strategy – NBA Projections – 4/2/15

A few months ago, I made a video that covered How To Make NBA Projections. It sparked a lot of great discussion and questions, but what I found out was that I did not nearly give the projections the justice that they deserved.  In an attempt to not bore everyone, I took a process that could take hours and shortened it down to about 18 minutes. This left a lot of questions unanswered.

What I plan on doing is going through the process of creating NBA Projections again, but this time doing it step by step and not skipping anything. It will most likely come in the form of a multiple part video series on YouTube.

In the meantime, I want to offer my NBA Projections to everyone for the rest of the season. Each day, I will post them here on this site and update them as much as possible. They will be in a simple Google Doc spreadsheet that you can access. Feel free to use them for whatever you want (create lineups, put them in an optimizer, use them as a baseline for your own projections, etc). They should be sortable but remember that if you change the sorting, it will change for everyone who is viewing at the time.

Here is a link to today’s projections

Also, if you are new to the game or know someone who wants to try it out, please sign up to DraftKings with my referral link. That allows me to continue to pump out as much content as I can.  I am also happy to answer any questions on here, YouTube, or Twitter.

Quick overview on how the projections work:

DraftKings Strategy – Daily 140 – Tue, March 10th

Tonight’s NBA Preview in 140 seconds. Only six games on the slate and two very shallow positions.

Daily 140: Wed, March 4th

draftkings strategy

I want to continue to find new and effective ways of communicating information about players. I think I can be too long winded with DraftKings strategy in videos which make it difficult for people to listen to the entire thing.  I am going to start a feature called the “Daily 140″ where I will pick out some players I like for tonight and tell you why in 140 characters or less.  It’s quick and to the point! Let’s do it:

If you prefer to listen:

PG

Russell Westbrook ($11,500)
Tough to fade, but too many concerns. How cautious will they be? Blowout factor. Salary is through the roof. Sadly avoiding him.

Mo Williams ($7,000)
Over 44 DK points in each of last three. Stuffing the stat sheet in multiple categories. Buy now before his price explodes.

Ricky Rubio ($7,800)
Walking triple-double. Gets to face the pitiful Nuggets. Huge upside.

SG

Demar DeRozan ($7,200)
Usage rate increase if Kyle Lowry is out. Has 50 point upside.

SF

LeBron James ($10,400)
The King is well rested and playing out of his mind. Highest floor of any player available tonight.

Michael Beasley ($3,300)
Could see 25 minutes of run tonight. Taken 10+ shots in each of the last two. Provides salary relief.

PF

Tim Duncan ($6,800)
Hasn’t played since Feb 28. Well-rested and in great matchup. Could see vintage Duncan tonight.

Serge Ibaka ($8,000)
Concerns with Westbrook. Ibaka has great matchup too. They may rely on him more if Westy is hesitant to go to the hoop.

C

Demarcus Cousins ($9,700)
Only concern is blowout potential. Boogie can stuff the stat sheet against anyone. Might be overlooked tonight.

Rudy Gobert ($6,700)
The chalk play at C for good reason. BOS bigs are soft as they come. Can’t match Gobert’s energy.

How To Make NBA Projections

One of the questions that I get asked the most is how to begin making custom NBA Projections. Almost every site offers their own, but no one gives up the “secret sauce” and tells you what goes into it. Here is a simple way to get started. The perfect foundation to begin tweaking and making them as custom as you want.

Links used:

Basketball-Reference (PER 100)

Team Rankings (Possessions) 

NumberFire (Minutes)

DraftKings Strategy – RIU Challenge – Day 15

Back and better than ever! After a week off, we came roaring back with a clean sweep of the 5 HU matches and a cash in the GPP. It feels good to be back on the right track and we were tested with several bad days in a row.  However, it’s important to stick to a good process, proper bankroll management, and keeping a good attitude.

Tonight is a small slate of only three games, so we will not put out an entire 10% of the bankroll.  We will enter one GPP. There are not a lot of great plays for me tonight, but I discuss some of the players anyway!

Bankroll: $71.10 (-$28.90)

DraftKings Strategy – RIU Challenge – Day 14

Welcome back! I went on a holiday hiatus, but am back for some more NBA! A massive slate tonight includes some really interesting value plays and a ton of great matchups.

DraftKings Strategy – RIU Challenge- Day 13

A very average night going 4-3 in HU and not cashing in the GPP. Tonight is a small slate without a ton of great options.  It will be difficult to put together anything that I really love.

Bankroll: $87.50 (-$12.50)

HU Record: 35-30

GPP Record: 4 of 11 cashes (Biggest Win: $6.00)

 

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