How To Make NBA Projections

One of the questions that I get asked the most is how to begin making custom NBA Projections. Almost every site offers their own, but no one gives up the “secret sauce” and tells you what goes into it. Here is a simple way to get started. The perfect foundation to begin tweaking and making them as custom as you want.

Links used:

Basketball-Reference (PER 100)

Team Rankings (Possessions) 

NumberFire (Minutes)

DraftKings Strategy – RIU Challenge – Day 15

Back and better than ever! After a week off, we came roaring back with a clean sweep of the 5 HU matches and a cash in the GPP. It feels good to be back on the right track and we were tested with several bad days in a row.  However, it’s important to stick to a good process, proper bankroll management, and keeping a good attitude.

Tonight is a small slate of only three games, so we will not put out an entire 10% of the bankroll.  We will enter one GPP. There are not a lot of great plays for me tonight, but I discuss some of the players anyway!

Bankroll: $71.10 (-$28.90)

DraftKings Strategy – RIU Challenge – Day 14

Welcome back! I went on a holiday hiatus, but am back for some more NBA! A massive slate tonight includes some really interesting value plays and a ton of great matchups.

DraftKings Strategy – RIU Challenge- Day 13

A very average night going 4-3 in HU and not cashing in the GPP. Tonight is a small slate without a ton of great options.  It will be difficult to put together anything that I really love.

Bankroll: $87.50 (-$12.50)

HU Record: 35-30

GPP Record: 4 of 11 cashes (Biggest Win: $6.00)

 

DraftKings Strategy – RIU Challenge – Day 12

Not a very good night last night! In fact, our lowest scoring night of the Challenge at 205.25 points. Not surprising that we suffered defeats in all of our matches, dropping the full 10%.

3 of our 4 value plays panned out, but all of our higher priced players under-performed.

Tonight is a five game NBA slate with a very shallow SF position.

Bankroll: $89.30 (-$10.70)

HU Record: 31-27

GPP Record: 4 cashes in 10 (Biggest Win: $6.00)

 

DraftKings Strategy – RIU Challenge – Day 11

There are a ton of great value plays and a ton of great PGs in play this evening.  I wish I could roster 4 PGs, but unfortunately, I cannot.  I walk you through each position and point out a few good plays at each one. You can use the short list of players to create your lineups.

Bankroll: $99.30 ($-0.70)

HU Record: 31-19

GPP Record: 4 cashes in 9 (Biggest Win: $6.00)

DraftKings Strategy – RIU Challenge – Day 10

The good times continue to roll! Another night sweeping the 7 HU matches and cashing in the GPP. This episode contains a recap and constructing a lineup around a ton of questionable players.

DraftKings Strategy – How To Find Every Value Play

There was a pricing error on DraftKings on Christmas Day. Tony Parker was minimum priced at $3,000, which was clearly a mistake.  I got some feedback via email and Twitter that some guys missed him because they didn’t notice. Here are two SIMPLE ways to never miss another value play.

DraftKings Strategy – RIU Challenge – Day 9

Note: Make sure to follow on Twitter for last minute lineup changes and analysis throughout the day! Also, for new players,  if you sign up through this link on DraftKings, I get a little something so it would be appreciated.

We took the night off last night, so nothing to recap. We hop right into strategy for tonight’s games. Also, a great chance to get on the plus side of the bankroll tonight. In this episode:

  • Some stellar match-ups
  • Pivoting around injured players

Bankroll: $98.90 ($1.10)

HU Record: 23-12

GPP Record: 3 of 8 cashes (Biggest Win: $6.00)

DraftKings Strategy – RIU Challenge – Day 8

Note: Make sure to follow on Twitter for lineup postings and more analysis.

This is actually an update for the past two days.  On Friday night, we scored 280 points in the NBA but only went 2-5 in HU matches! I try not to be too results oriented, because 280 points is a great score that I would love on any night. We bounced back on Saturday night with a CLEAN SWEEP of the 7 HU matches and a cash in the GPP.  This episode:

  • Discussed Unusual Strategy for Saturday’s Game
  • Quick NFL Preview

Forgot to mention this in the video, but the lineup with 4 Value Plays and 4 Studs finished like this:

Value Plays – $13,700 salary – 97.75 points – 7.1x Value

Studs – $36,100 – 144.5 – 4x Value

So the strategy could have worked out, had we picked the right studs!

Bankroll: $98.90 (-$1.10)

HU Record: 23-12

GPP Record: 3 of 8 cashes (Biggest Win: $6.00)

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